The forecast for the next few days predicts an unsettled climate with temperatures closer to average, but this won’t prevent June 2023 from being provisionally the hottest June on record in the UK, beating the record set in 1940 and June 1976 (part of 1976’s well-known summer), which stands as second warmest June on record.
With only a few days of near-average temperatures forecast for the remainder of the month, overall this June will prove to be provisionally the hottest June on record for the UK.
“Meteorologically, June started with high pressure over the UK bringing often settled and dry conditions with plenty of sunshine. Once that high pressure subsided, warm, humid air took charge over the UK, with 32.2C the highest temperature recorded so far this month and high temperatures for the vast majority of the UK.
“What has been particularly unusual is the persistent warmth for much of the month, with temperatures reaching 25C widely for at least a fortnight, and at times 28 to 30C – whereas we would more typically expect maximum temperatures in the high teens or low 20s at this time of year.”
Provisional confirmation of June 2023’s position in the weather and climate records will be published on Monday 3 July, including confirmation on any provisional records for other regions of the UK. This will include provisional rainfall and sunshine data for the full month.
What impact has climate change had?
Climate change increases the frequency of hotter, drier summer weather and the chances of record-breaking high temperatures for the UK.
Mike continued: “While the UK has always had periods of warm weather, what climate change does is increase the frequency and intensity of these warm weather events, increasing the likelihood of high temperature records being broken, like we saw for 2022’s annual temperature for the UK.
“It is particularly telling that of the 12 months of the year, for UK average maximum temperature the records for the warmest months include 2019 (February), 2018 (May), 2015 (December), 2012 (March), 2011 (April), 2011 (November), 2006 (July) and now 2023 (June). Statistics such as this clearly tell us of the changing nature of the UK’s climate and how it is particularly affecting extremes.”
