Conditions becoming favourable for the onset of northeast monsoon

India Weather Update: IMD Forecasts Southwest Monsoon Arrival in Andaman and Nicobar Islands by May 19

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India Weather Update: IMD Forecasts Southwest Monsoon Arrival in Andaman and Nicobar Islands by May 19

As the country braces for the onset of the Southwest Monsoon, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday predicted its likely advancement into the South Andaman Sea, parts of Southeast Bay of Bengal, and Nicobar Islands by May 19, 2024.

Favorable conditions, such as the strengthening of southwesterly winds and increased rainfall activity, are projected to support the monsoon’s progression into the region by May 19.

The normal advancement date into this region is around May 22. So this time, it may be slightly earlier than that. There is some kind of convection developing over the south Andaman Sea and adjoining areas of the southeast Bay of Bengal, said Dr Medha Khole, head of IMD’s weather forecasting division in Pune.

The correlation stems from a cyclonic circulation in lower atmospheric levels, heightening the likelihood of convection across the region. Additionally, there is a shift towards more southwesterly winds. Consequently, the stage is set for favorable conditions conducive to the southwest monsoon’s progression over the south Andaman Sea, specific regions of the southeast Bay of Bengal, and the Nicobar Islands around May 19.

A cyclonic circulation over the Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Kerala, coupled with a trough extending to Marathwada, is expected to bring isolated to scattered rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and squally winds (40-60 kmph) to Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and Gujarat state from May 14 to 17, 2024, according to the met department.

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