Kerala Summer Rain 25/02/26: Rain Likely to Continue for More Days

The summer rain that intensified across Kerala from yesterday is now likely to continue until the end of this month. In its previous forecast, Metbeat Weather had indicated rain until February 26. However, based on the latest weather analysis, rainfall may now continue until March 2.

Isolated but Heavy Showers Possible

Unlike the widespread heavy rainfall seen in recent days, the coming days may witness isolated rain, which means only certain areas may receive showers. However, wherever it occurs, rainfall could be intense. Central Kerala and southern districts have a higher chance of receiving such rainfall.

Evening Thunderstorms Likely

There is also a possibility of thunderstorms along with rain during the evening hours. People are advised to remain cautious.

The main reason for the rainfall was the Low Pressure Area (LPA) that formed over the Bay of Bengal recently. In addition, a cyclonic circulation developed over the South East Arabian Sea, close to the Kerala coast.

Why Rain Will Continue

Due to the cyclonic circulation, moisture is reaching Kerala from the Arabian Sea. This moisture inflow is leading to cloud formation during evening hours. At the same time, easterly winds are also influencing the region. The convergence of winds from two directions (low-level convergence) is supporting continued rainfall.

Rain Unlikely to Reduce Immediately

Yesterday, rainfall was recorded in Idukki, Thrissur, and Palakkad districts. It was earlier expected that rainfall would weaken by today. However, observers at Metbeat Weather indicate that rain is likely to persist in the coming days, especially across central Kerala.

Weather systems are expected to weaken by the first week of March, after which dry weather conditions may return to Kerala.

North India Moving Towards Summer

Signs of summer have already begun appearing in North India. Until now, Kerala was recording the highest temperatures in India due to winter conditions prevailing in the north. However, temperatures are now beginning to rise in northern regions as well.

Usually, significant heat sets in across North India after March. This year, however, temperatures are rising earlier than usual.

In Rajasthan, located in North West India, the temperature reached 35°C yesterday — about 4°C above the seasonal average. This indicates that winter conditions are gradually withdrawing from the region.Cold conditions are also reducing in Delhi, and temperatures are expected to rise further in the coming days.

True Summer Yet to Begin in Kerala

As North India heats up, Kerala will gradually move into peak summer conditions. When dry and hot winds from North India begin to influence Kerala, the state will enter its peak summer season.

Although temperatures generally rise in Kerala during February, the recent isolated rains have helped reduce heat levels. In previous years, temperatures in February have touched 40°C in some areas.

Increase in Winter Rainfall

The recent rainfall will be counted under winter rainfall statistics (January 1 to February 28 period). Until the rain began, Kerala had a 9% deficit in winter rainfall.

However, after two days of rain, winter rainfall has increased by nearly 80%. With more rain expected in the coming days, winter rainfall figures are likely to improve significantly. January and February are typically the driest months in Kerala.

Thunderstorm Alert:
Residents are advised to stay alert during thunderstorms. Lightning strikes can be tracked in real-time using the link below:
https://metbeatnews.com/page/lightning-strike-map

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